Mariners end Yankees' seven-game win streak
Baseball Betting Lines
07/02/2009 - Bronx, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Russell Branyan belted a two-run homer and the Mariners pounded CC Sabathia early on the way to an 8-4 win, ending New York's winning streak at seven contests.
Franklin Gutierrez had three hits, including a solo homer, and Ichiro Suzuki doubled twice and drove in two runs for the Mariners, who had lost their previous 10 games in the Bronx.
Chris Woodward also had two RBI for Seattle, which won for the eighth time in its last 12 contests overall. The Mariners also averted a sweep in the finale of the three-game series.
Jason Vargas allowed four hits and four runs over the first four frames in the start for the Mariners. Miguel Batista (5-2) threw two hitless innings to get the win.
Hideki Matsui belted a two-run homer and drove in three runs for the Yankees, while Robinson Cano had three hits and scored twice.
Sabathia (7-5) was charged with 10 hits and six runs over 5 2/3 innings. He also walked three and struck out eight and lost for just the second time in his last 11 starts.
Matsui's homer to right field in the fourth had the Yankees within 6-4.
Seattle wasted a bases-loaded chance in the sixth, but then added to their lead in the ninth off Alfredo Aceves. Suzuki reached safely on first baseman Mark Teixeira's throwing error.
Branyan, who had a career-high 10-game hitting streak snapped by striking out four times Wednesday night, then smoked the first pitch over the wall in center. It was the first home run hit off the glass facing of the Mohegan Sun Sports Bar at Yankee Stadium.
David Aardsma nearly loaded the bases with nobody out in the bottom of the ninth, giving up singles to Cano and Nick Swisher to begin the frame. Matsui then flied out to center field in a 10-pitch at-bat. Melky Cabrera also flied out and pinch-hitter Jorge Posada fanned to end the game.
Suzuki started the game with a double, stole third with one out and scored on a Jose Lopez groundout.
Seattle expanded the margin to 3-0 in the second. Gutierrez homered to left field. Kenji Johjima and Ryan Langerhans followed with singles before Woodward lifted a sacrifice fly.
A Swisher sac fly got the Yankees on the scoreboard in the bottom of the frame, and a dropped ball by Suzuki in right field allowed Cano to score for a one-run difference.
Woodward's RBI single and a Suzuki two-run double to the gap in left-center increased Seattle's lead to 6-2.
Game Notes
The start of the game was delayed 36 minutes due to threatening weather...Actor Jack Nicholson was in attendance, sitting in the lower level behind home plate...The Mariners play a three-game series in Boston this weekend, while the Yankees host Toronto in a four-game set...Teixeira had gone 72 games at first base without committing an error this season. It was the longest current errorless stretch for any major league infielder and the longest in one season for a Yankees first baseman since Tino Martinez (82) in 1996. This was his first error since August 19, 2008...Seattle beat the Yankees for just the third time in the last 14 matchups...Suzuki recorded his major league-leading 37th multi-hit game this season and has yet to post consecutive hitless games in 2009...Branyan hit his team-leading 20th home run of the season...Gutierrez had his third three-hit game in his last five contests.
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Horse Betting
(This is an update of a sportsbook for the May 4th issue of ESPN The Magazine).
The Kentucky Derby's post-position draw happened on Wednesday. And, as is always the case, shortly afterwards, a buzz raced around Churchill Downs. It was a low rumble at first, nothing that the squares in the mint julep crowd pick up right away. But by the time the sun set over the twin spires, the chatter was impossible to ignore. Everyone -- sharps, trainers, owners -- was talking about one thing: the wise guy horse, the pre-draw long shot us mopes didn't have on our radar until it was too late.
"You think you're hearing the scoop," says handicapper Lane Gold. "Then you get to the window, the odds are short, and you missed it."
Recognizing a wise-guy horse early is as hard as picking a Derby bonnet. That's because handicappers don't like hype (see ya, I Want Revenge). They want Thoroughbreds who look good losing prep races like the Santa Anita Derby. They eye horses who ate up the field after starting wide or made an easy transition from synthetic tracks to dirt. They look for ponies who showed muscle gain race to race and those who ran hard after several weeks' rest.
"A wise guy," says John Avello, a bookmaker at Wynn Las Vegas, "looks for a horse who can improve."
When I first wrote Horse Betting for The Mag, which I turned in a three weeks before Wednesday's draw, I predicted these three horses had wise guy potential:
CHOCOLATE CANDY (15-1 in mid-April, currently 20-1 according to Avello): His second-place finish at Santa Anita, following a seven-week layoff, proved two things: He can run after resting, and -- by losing a high-profile prep race -- he wouldn't be overhyped.
DESERT PARTY (15-1; 15-1): He was upset in the UAE Derby by a horse he had beaten twice. The public remembers his loss, but the wise guys his wins.
PIONEEROF THE NILE (8-1; 4-1): The big favorite at Santa Anita struggled to win, so he initially got less hype than Quality Road and I Want Revenge.
You may have noticed that the odds on Pioneerof the Nile have been cut in half, from 8-1 to 4-1. Which means the wise guys took a shine to him long before the post-position draw. But, to be honest, this is one of those years with four elite horses getting everyone's attention, squares and sharps alike.
"You're not gonna get a lot of chatter about a horse that isn't in that group, which includes Pioneer, I Want Revenge, Dunkirk and Friesan Fire," Avello told me Wednesday. "We don't have a group of horses behind those top four who look like real legit contenders."
Come Derby week, the final two elements in picking a wise guy horse are how he's working out and what gate he's coming out of.
(By the way, picking a Preakness favorite is a whole different bale of hay, partially based on how horses finish in the Derby. You can see my analysis of who has the best shot at Pimlico on Insider Sunday morning.)
Well, early in the week I Want Revenge, Pioneerof the Nile and Friesan Fire were working out better than anyone. Some thought Friesan Fire, currently 6-1, might have run too fast, burning a five-furlong run in :57 4/5. "When you are running that fast you have the sense that it took something out of him," says Gold. "The Derby is longer than any horse has run, and if they need that extra surge you worry they won't have it because they burned it in the workout."
But, Gold points out, Friesan Fire's trainer is Larry Jones, Two years ago his horse Hard Spun did a five-eighths workout in :57 3/5 and then went on to finish second, behind Street Sense, in the Derby. "Every trainer has different methods," says Gold. "And clearly he knows what he's doing."
Now, as for starting position, Gold says to remember this: Churchill Downs traditionally has 14 starting gates. For the Derby, it brings out auxiliary gates and between the original 14th gate and the new 15th gate, there is a little more space than there is between gates 1-14. "That 15 position will give you a precious second or two to sort out what's happening to your inside," says Gold. "Sixteen is also okay because you can follow the horse in front of you."
Dunkirk, one of the race favorites, is coming out of gate 15. In 16 is Baffert's Pioneerof the Nile. I Want Revenge drew 13, where Smarty Jones won from in 2004, and Friesan Fire picked the sixth position. "He doesn't have a lot of speed to the inside of him," says Gold. "So he will get a clear shot to be near the front."
All the jibber-jabber means this: Pioneerof the Nile has leapfrogged from 8-1 to being the second favorite, along with Dunkirk, behind I Want Revenge. Meanwhile, Friesan Fire, with a good trainer, a strong week of training and a decent post position, is still at 6-1. "By Saturday, it's possible he could go from fourth to the favorite," says Gold.
In other words, meet Friesan Fire, your 2009 wise guy horse.
"Now," says Avello, "it's time for action."
To visit this horse betting site go to MySportsbook.com for all your horse racing betting needs.